Thursday, October 20, 2022

Asia, Middle East ramp up diesel exports to Europe in October

 



SINGAPORE/LONDON, Oct 19 (Reuters) - Oil traders are ramping up diesel exports from Asia and the Middle East to Europe in October to profit from a wide price gap between the regions as weeks-long strikes at French refineries have tightened stocks, although a steep backwardation may cap volumes, according to trade sources and shipping data.

The price spread between front-month Singapore 10 ppm sulphur gasoil swaps and the ICE low sulphur gasoil futures contract, also known as exchange of futures for swaps (EFS) , was close to minus $150 a tonne on Wednesday, versus minus $29 a year ago, data on Refinitiv Eikon showed, making it attractive for traders to send oil to Europe.

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Rupee continues losing streak against US dollar

 


The Pakistani rupee further lost ground against the US dollar as it depreciated by Rs1.16 in the interbank market on Wednesday.

The local unit closed at 220.875 in the interbank market, according to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP).

The dollar traded at Rs221.35 against the local currency around 1pm during intraday trade in the interbank market.

The rupee has been witnessing a downward trend for over a week after it snapped the 13-day winning streak against the dollar on October 12. On Tuesday (October 19), the rupee closed at Rs219.71 after the dollar appreciated by Rs0.82.

Meanwhile, in the open market, the rupee was trading at 228 after losing 1.80 on Wednesday.

Analysts have said that the local unit will remain rangebound in the ongoing week, depending on the demand for greenback by importers as the central bank has started to clear pending letters of credit.

Talking to The News, economist and former adviser to the federal ministry of finance Dr Khaqan Hassan Najeeb had said the movement of a currency in a market-based exchange rate can be largely influenced by three factors — market sentiment, speculation and fundamentals.

"The rather disorderly movement that was seen in the rupee earlier all the way to 240 was partly sentiment and partly speculation," the economist had said.

With the element of speculation slowing and the liquidation of export receipts held abroad, the rupee saw a correction to nearly Rs 218, Khaqan had said.



"The exchange rate movement is likely to be more fundamentally driven dependent on dollar inflows and the foreign exchange reserves held by the state bank of Pakistan," he had said.

"At the same time managing the current account deficit is an important influence in the market-based exchange rate movement for coming months," Khaqan had said.

The central bank’s foreign exchange reserves decreased by $303 million to $7.596 billion as of October 7 due to external debt repayments.

    The central bank’s reserves are enough to cover hardly one month’s worth of imports.

    Column: LME copper stocks plunge again as metal heads to China

     



    LONDON, Oct 19 (Reuters) - The amount of available copper in the London Metal Exchange's (LME) warehouse network has halved over the last eight days.

    Headline stocks of 139,000 tonnes may look healthy enough but a string of daily cancellations means that 48% of that tonnage is now awaiting physical load-out, leaving just 72,950 of live stocks.

    The stocks grab looks strange, given the rapidly darkening outlook for demand as Europe heads into recession and U.S manufacturing growth brakes sharply.

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    But the clue lies in China, where a squeeze on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (ShFE) has generated a scramble for metal.

    ShFE stocks, bonded warehouse stocks and Yangshan premium
    ShFE stocks, bonded warehouse stocks and Yangshan premium

    SHANGHAI SQUEEZE

    The ShFE copper contract has been characterised by low inventory and rolling tightness for some time. But things have come to a head since the market reopened after the Golden Week holidays and in the run-up to the October contract's expiry on Monday.

    Market open interest surged to 454,074 contracts at the end of last week, the highest level of participation since 2015, as the front part of the curve tightened.

    Deliveries against short positions have been accelerating. Total registered ShFE stocks more than doubled over the holiday period to 63,746 tonnes with on-warrant inventory jumping from 3,729 to 25,588 tonnes.

    More has arrived this week, on-warrant stocks mushrooming to 70,547 tonnes as of Tuesday.

    Shanghai is now acting as a magnet on available copper units both in China and the rest of the world.

    YANGSHAN YANKS THE SUPPLY CHAIN

    It's clear the first point of call for Shanghai shorts has been the copper sitting in the city's bonded warehouses.

    European markets open lower as economic uncertainty persists; UK politics in chaos

     



    European markets opened negative on Thursday as investors assessed continuing economic uncertainty.

    The Stoxx 600 index opened down 0.19%, and all sectors and major bourses opened lower. Financial services led the marginal losses, down 0.77%. Household goods and oil and gas flipped into the green within the first minute of trading, with oil and gas leading gains at 1.34%.

    EUROPEAN MARKETS

    TICKER COMPANY PRICE CHANGE %CHANGE 
    FTSE 1006913.79-11.2-0.16
    DAX12676.87-64.54-0.51
    CAC 40 Index6058.4917.770.29
    FTSE MIB21458.9-13.21-0.06
    IBEX 35 Idx7579.3-4.3-0.06

    Regional markets closed slightly lower Wednesday afternoon as traders digested new inflation data for the U.K. and assessed rate hike expectations and recession fears.

    Shares in the Asia-Pacific traded lower on Thursday on economic fears, while Nasdaq 100 futures fell on Wednesday night after surging Treasury yields ended a two-day rally for the major averages.

    Political uncertainty continues in the U.K. this week. Prime Minister Liz Truss said she is “a fighter not a quitter” while addressing fellow lawmakers in the House of Commons yesterday but she is facing growing pressure to resign. Her ailing government was dealt another blow with the resignation of Home Secretary Suella Braverman.

    Nordic telecom companies dip: Ericsson down 12%, Nokia down 5%

    Shares of Ericsson dropped 12% following third quarter earnings, while Nokia is down 5% in early trade.

    Both companies’ operating margins suffered from rising costs and contract delays.

    — Hannah Ward-Glenton

    European markets: Here are the opening calls

    European markets are heading for a negative open on Thursday as investors assessed continuing economic uncertainty.

    The U.K.’s FTSE index is expected to open 37 points lower at 6,899, the German DAX down 106 points at 12,635 and the French CAC down 52 points at 5,988, according to data from IG.

    Regional markets closed slightly lower Wednesday afternoon as traders digested new inflation data for the U.K. and assessed rate hike expectations and recession fears.

    The U.K. reported a rise in the consumer price index to 10.1% Wednesday, matching the 40-year high posted by the Office for National Statistics in July. Food, energy and transport prices drove the increase.

    On the data front in Europe, French business climate data for October is due. Earnings are due from Hermes, Kering, L’Oreal, Pernod Ricard, Vivendi, Akzonobel, ABB, Nokia and Volvo Group.

    EU leaders will discuss gas price cap for power generation, Michel says

     

    BRUSSELS (Reuters) - European Union leaders will discuss putting a cap for the price of gas used to generate electricity - over which member states are divided - when they meet for a summit at the end of this week, European Council President Charles Michel said on Tuesday.

    "We must intensify our three lines of action: reducing demand, ensuring security of supply and containing prices," Michel said in his invitation letter to leaders for the Thursday-Friday meeting in
    Brussels.

    "This includes: jointly purchasing gas, developing a new benchmark that more accurately reflects conditions on the gas market, and examining a temporary dynamic price limit," Michel said.

    "I also expect us to address other short and long-term market interventions, such as an EU framework to cap the price of gas for electricity generation."

    (Reporting by Bart Meijer and John Chalmers)

    Elon Musk's 'Burnt Hair' Perfume Sold Out, Records Over 28,000 Sales

     


    New Delhi: 

    Besides his ambitious plans to colonise Mars and acquire Twitter, Elon Musk recently launched his perfume brand - 'Burnt Hair'. 

    The billionaire, at that time, said the perfume has the “finest fragrance on Earth”. And, it seems that 'Burnt Hair' has already garnered quite a popularity as it has been now “sold out”. 

    Mr Musk, in a tweet, said that “28,700 bottles of exquisite 'Burnt Hair' perfume already sold. Only 1,300 left of this unique, limited edition, collector's item.”

    Then hours after revealing the sales figures of his perfume, Mr Musk announced that the perfume, which is priced at ₹ 8,400 ($100), has been sold out.

    This drew numerous reactions on Twitter where one wrote, “Elon [Musk], you need 400 million bottles of this to buy Twitter”. For those who don't know, Mr Musk recently urged people to buy his perfume so that he could buy Twitter.

    Another asked, “Do you have enough for the Twitter deal?”

    Some seemed disappointed that the perfume went out of stock.

    One reacted, “Oh damn! I won't be able to buy anymore.”

    The 'Burnt Hair' perfume is said to have “the Essence of Repugnant Desire”, as per the website. Its fragrance has been described as “just like leaning over a candle at the dinner table, but without all the hard work”. It further reads “Stand out in a crowd! Get noticed as you walk through the airport”.

    Mr Musk had allowed customers to buy his perfume through cryptocurrency as well. “And, you can pay with Doge[Dogecoin],” he said in a tweet.

    Where next for Shell’s share price if record earnings are over?

     



    HAS Shell’s record earnings run finally hit the buffers? The oil giant has had quarter after quarter of back-to-back record-breaking earnings - and faced increasingly vocal calls for a windfall tax on the oil and gas giants amid a cost-of-living crisis - but next week’s third quarter update may show the bull-run has already come to an end.

    In an update ahead of next week’s third-quarter report, oil giant Shell (SHEL) has already signalled that its record of ever-higher earnings may well have come to an end. Europe’s largest oil and gas company said that in the three months to the end of September it had seen margins at its refining business fall and it expects them to come in at $15 a barrel, compared to $28 a barrel in the previous quarter. If that’s the case, adjusted earnings for July to September will fall by $1bn to $1.4bn compared to the previous three months.

    But the bad news doesn’t end there. Margins at Shell’s chemicals unit have also fallen, from $86 a tonne in the last quarter to an expected minus $27 a tonne, after a fall in global demand for plastics. Meanwhile, the world’s biggest trader of liquefied natural gas said earnings from its integrated gas business were also expected to be significantly lower. It put that down to lower seasonal demand and the impact of a “volatile and dislocated” market.

    For investors this will be a bitter pill to swallow. Shell had been riding high. In July, reported quarterly earnings of $11.5bn broke the record $9.1bn recorded in the first three months of the year and more than doubled the $5.5bn achieved in the same period a year earlier. Investors were rewarded with a $6bn share buyback scheme that came on top of the $8.5bn of buybacks Shell had already completed in the first half of the year.

    The big question investors will be wanting an answer to is whether this signals the end of the run of record profits, or it’s a blip. However, if lower refining and chemicals margins and weaker gas trading become the norm, then we can expect to see earnings continue to take a knock and what then for the share price and the all-important dividends that investors have come to rely on?

    There will also be interest in anything Shell can share on its renewable energy plans. Rival BP’s (BP) planned $4.1bn purchase of a US-listed biogas producer is its largest-ever low-carbon energy acquisition and suggests it wants to accelerate its push into greener fuels. Shell’s recent purchase of a Nigerian renewable energy provider marks a move into Africa and follows moves into India and the US in the past 12 months. While Shell’s history with Nigeria is long and complicated, having been the first company to find oil there in 1956, it is a potentially huge market and this acquisition could position Shell very well to roll out renewable energy on a continent on which about 43% of the population lack access to electricity.

    Shell’s Q3 trading update is due out on Thursday (27 October).

    Important information: Investors should note that the views expressed may no longer be current and may have already been acted upon. Reference to specific securities should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell these securities and is included for the purposes of illustration only. This information is not a personal recommendation for any particular investment. Overseas investments will be affected by movements in currency exchange rates. Reference to specific securities should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell these securities and is included for the purposes of illustration only. If you are unsure about the suitability of an investment you should speak to one of Fidelity’s advisers or an authorised financial adviser of your choice.

    Asia, Middle East ramp up diesel exports to Europe in October

      SINGAPORE/LONDON, Oct 19 (Reuters) - Oil traders are ramping up diesel exports from Asia and the Middle East to Europe in October to profi...